Mercury Shrinking Faster Than Expected, New Study Reveals
New research suggests Mercury, the solar system's smallest planet, has shrunk significantly more than previously understood. This contraction offers clues about its internal structure and evolution.

Mercury, the planet closest to the Sun, is showing telltale signs of shrinking, with new research indicating this contraction may be more substantial than scientists previously believed. These geological features, known as scarps and ridges, provide evidence that the innermost planet of our solar system once occupied a larger volume. Scientists are analyzing these formations to better understand Mercury's internal processes and its evolutionary history.
The rocky planet, which orbits the Sun every 88 Earth days at an average distance of 36 million miles (58 million kilometers), formed approximately 4.5 billion years ago from swirling gas and dust. The early solar system was a tumultuous place, with frequent, violent collisions between celestial bodies. As planets like Mercury formed, they were intensely hot, often resembling molten lava. The intense heat from these early impacts and from their formation process meant that as these planets cooled over billions of years, their interiors contracted, leading to the surface features observed today.
These contraction events are responsible for the dramatic cliffs and ridges that scar Mercury's surface. Some of these geological structures can soar up to a mile high and stretch for hundreds of miles. However, the planet's surface has also been heavily bombarded by asteroids and comets over eons, riddling it with impact craters. This bombardment, scientists suggest, may have obscured the full extent of Mercury's shrinkage, making it difficult to accurately assess the planet's contraction rate.
Unraveling Mercury's Hidden Contraction
A recent study, published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, utilized data from NASA's MESSENGER mission to re-examine Mercury's surface roughness. Lead author Gaku Nishiyama, a planetary scientist at the German Aerospace Center's Institute of Space Research in Berlin, explained that impacts may have hidden many of the planet's characteristic shortening structures. "It made us think that there's a process obscuring shortening structures," Nishiyama stated, referring to debris covering signs of contraction.
By mapping the global surface roughness, Nishiyama and his team identified a trend: fewer wrinkles were present in the roughest areas compared to smoother regions. This led them to estimate how many wrinkles might exist if they weren't obscured by impact debris. Their computations suggest that Mercury may have shrunk 10% to 30% more than earlier estimates, representing a radius change of about 7.2 miles (11.6 kilometers). Previous studies had suggested a radius change between 0.6 to 1.2 miles (1 to 2 kilometers) and up to 4.3 miles (7 kilometers).
Dr. Paul Byrne, an associate professor at Washington University in St. Louis, commented that it is plausible that earlier studies missed geological cracks due to the difficulty of observing them in rough areas or because they had not yet formed on Mercury's extremely rugged crust. Byrne, who was not involved in the latest study, noted, "Yet if we can accurately measure how much Mercury has contracted, we can make better estimates of its interior layering, the size and make-up of its core, its tectonic and volcanic histories, how its magnetic field is generated, and a whole lot more."
Understanding Mercury's shrinkage is crucial for deciphering its internal structure, including the size and composition of its metallic core, and its thermal history. Mercury is the second densest planet in our solar system after Earth, largely due to its massive core. More significant shrinkage could imply a larger metal core, fewer light elements mixed within it, or a higher initial formation temperature, according to Nishiyama.
The upcoming BepiColombo mission, a joint effort by the European Space Agency and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, is poised to provide unprecedented data. After an almost eight-year journey, the mission's two orbiters are expected to begin their analysis near Mercury at the end of 2026. The topographical data collected by BepiColombo will enable scientists to more precisely estimate Mercury's contraction and offer detailed views of its cliffs, craters, and ridges, potentially confirming the findings of the new study. Unlike MESSENGER, BepiColombo's Mercury Planetary Orbiter will perform comprehensive global topographic measurements, including detailed mapping of the southern hemisphere, according to Dr. Kelsey Crane, a geologist at Seres Engineering and Services. "All these types of data complement each other, helping scientists tell a more complete story of planetary evolution and spurring new questions for future missions to address," Crane remarked.
